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    Advanced Thinking

    Risk Radar

    Think in probabilities. Learn to assess risks and calculate expected outcomes for better decisions under uncertainty.

    Risk Assessment

    Evaluate threats

    Expected Value

    Calculate outcomes

    Probability

    Think in odds

    Decisions

    Under uncertainty

    Select Difficulty

    How It Works

    • • Compare two options with different probabilities and outcomes
    • • Calculate expected value: EV = Probability × Outcome
    • • Choose which option has higher expected value
    • • Learn when EV isn't everything (risk tolerance matters!)
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    What is Risk Radar?

    Risk Radar is a strategic decision-making game that develops your ability to assess risks in business and life situations. Understanding risk is essential for management, consulting, and leadership roles.

    The game presents realistic scenarios requiring risk identification and assessment. You develop the structured thinking that enables smart decisions under uncertainty - a highly valued professional skill.

    How It Works

    The game covers professional risk analysis:

    Scenario Types: • Business Decisions: Investment, expansion, pricing risks • Project Management: Timeline, budget, resource risks • Career Situations: Job change, negotiation risks • Financial Scenarios: Market, credit, liquidity risks • Strategic Planning: Competition, technology, regulatory risks

    Frameworks: Expected value, risk matrices, and probability trees.

    1

    Understand the Scenario

    Read the business or decision situation carefully.

    2

    Identify Risks

    Spot potential risks and their likelihood.

    3

    Assess Impact

    Evaluate the potential consequences of each risk.

    4

    Make Decision

    Choose the best course of action considering risks.

    Cognitive Skills You'll Develop

    Risk assessment
    Decision analysis
    Scenario planning
    Probability thinking
    Strategic judgment

    Risk Radar develops strategic thinking:

    Risk Identification: Seeing potential problems before they occur.

    Probability Assessment: Estimating likelihood of various outcomes.

    Impact Analysis: Understanding potential consequences.

    Trade-off Evaluation: Comparing risk vs. reward.

    Decision Under Uncertainty: Making good choices with incomplete information.

    Exam Preparation Benefits

    MBA Case StudiesBusiness AnalysisConsulting InterviewsDecision Making

    Risk thinking aids strategy-focused assessments:

    MBA Case Interviews: Consulting firms test risk judgment.

    GMAT/CAT: Decision-making scenarios test structured thinking.

    Business School Courses: Foundation for finance and strategy classes.

    Professional Certifications: Risk management is tested in CFA, FRM, PMP.

    Who Should Play This Game?

    Age: 16-50CollegeGraduateProfessional

    Risk Radar benefits business-minded individuals:

    • MBA Aspirants: Develop case interview risk thinking • Consulting Candidates: Build strategic judgment • Business Professionals: Improve decision quality • Entrepreneurs: Better startup risk assessment • Students: Foundation for business studies

    The Science Behind It

    This game applies decision science:

    Expected Value: Weighing outcomes by probability and impact.

    Prospect Theory: Understanding how people actually perceive risk.

    Bounded Rationality: Making good decisions with limited information.

    Scenario Analysis: Preparing for multiple possible futures.

    Pro Tips for Better Scores

    1

    Always consider both likelihood AND impact - high impact rare events matter

    2

    Look for risks that are correlated - they may hit together

    3

    Consider the reversibility of decisions - irreversible ones need more caution

    4

    Avoid both excessive risk-aversion and overconfidence

    5

    Practice articulating your risk reasoning - communication matters

    Frequently Asked Questions

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